{
  "version": 1,
  "updatedAt": "2026-09-10",
  "description": "Reusable research protocols for testing human-AI decision patterns without treating working labels as established cognitive biases.",
  "canonicalUrl": "https://cognitive-biases.github.io/ai-era/protocol/",
  "rules": [
    "Start from an observable behaviour, not a catchy label.",
    "State the competing explanation before collecting results.",
    "Change one important variable at a time where possible.",
    "Keep model, version, prompt, settings and date.",
    "Separate model behaviour from human response.",
    "Report null or mixed results as clearly as positive results."
  ],
  "protocols": [
    {
      "slug": "ai-advice-order",
      "title": "AI Advice Order Test",
      "track": "ai-anchoring-loop",
      "question": "Does seeing an AI estimate before making your own estimate pull the final judgment toward the model?",
      "conditions": [
        "Independent estimate first, then AI advice",
        "AI advice first, then human estimate"
      ],
      "primaryMeasure": "Absolute shift toward the AI estimate",
      "secondaryMeasures": [
        "confidence change",
        "decision time",
        "distance from a reference-class estimate"
      ],
      "minimumReport": "Report the model/version, task, anchor value, sample size, mean shift by condition and uncertainty.",
      "preregisteredStudyId": "ai-advice-order-v1",
      "studyUrl": "/research/ai-advice-order-v1/",
      "instrumentUrl": "/experiments/ai-advice-order-v1/",
      "stimulusNote": "The v1 pilot isolates advice-order effects with standardized AI-labelled numerical recommendations fixed by protocol rather than live model calls."
    },
    {
      "slug": "blind-vs-history-aware-ai-judging",
      "title": "Blind vs History-Aware AI Judging",
      "track": "evaluation-history-contamination",
      "question": "Does an earlier evaluation score change a later AI judge's score when the candidate answer and rubric stay fixed?",
      "conditions": [
        "Blind evaluation with no history",
        "Prior-review framing without a score",
        "Prior-review framing with an experimentally assigned score and verdict"
      ],
      "primaryMeasure": "Signed movement of the history-aware score toward the displayed previous score relative to the blind score",
      "secondaryMeasures": [
        "history-anchor versus history-framing difference",
        "absolute error against constructed gold score",
        "correction-harm rate",
        "verdict flip rate",
        "repeat dispersion"
      ],
      "minimumReport": "Use fresh contexts, keep model/version/settings fixed within a run, report every task-condition score, and publish model-level results before pooling.",
      "preregisteredStudyId": "ai-judge-history-v1",
      "studyUrl": "/research/ai-judge-history-v1/",
      "instrumentUrl": "/experiments/ai-judge-history-v1/",
      "stimulusNote": "The previous score is controlled metadata, not new evidence about candidate quality. The protocol tests evaluation sensitivity without assuming the model shares a human psychological mechanism."
    },
    {
      "slug": "agreement-pressure",
      "title": "AI Agreement Pressure Test",
      "track": "sycophancy-reinforcement-loop",
      "question": "Does signalling a preferred answer change model agreement and then increase human confidence in that preferred answer?",
      "conditions": [
        "Neutral question",
        "Question containing a preferred conclusion",
        "Preferred conclusion plus explicit request for counterevidence"
      ],
      "primaryMeasure": "Change in model agreement rate and user confidence",
      "secondaryMeasures": [
        "factual accuracy",
        "counterargument quality",
        "answer revision rate"
      ],
      "minimumReport": "Keep the underlying task identical across conditions and report both model behaviour and human confidence separately."
    },
    {
      "slug": "source-memory",
      "title": "Human-AI Source Memory Test",
      "track": "source-memory-blur",
      "question": "Do mixed human-AI workflows make it harder to remember who produced an idea or sentence?",
      "conditions": [
        "Human-only creation",
        "AI-only suggestion",
        "Mixed human-AI creation"
      ],
      "primaryMeasure": "Correct source-attribution rate after a delay",
      "secondaryMeasures": [
        "confidence in attribution",
        "verbatim recognition",
        "idea ownership judgment"
      ],
      "minimumReport": "Predefine the delay, keep contribution labels hidden during the test, and distinguish idea-source from wording-source errors."
    },
    {
      "slug": "offloading-retention",
      "title": "AI Offloading & Retention Test",
      "track": "cognitive-offloading-debt",
      "question": "Can AI improve immediate completion while weakening unaided retention or transfer?",
      "conditions": [
        "Unaided work",
        "AI-assisted work",
        "AI-assisted work plus retrieval/explanation step"
      ],
      "primaryMeasure": "Delayed unaided retention or transfer performance",
      "secondaryMeasures": [
        "immediate task quality",
        "time on task",
        "self-rated effort",
        "confidence"
      ],
      "minimumReport": "Do not infer long-term learning from immediate task quality. Include a delayed or transfer measure."
    },
    {
      "slug": "structured-output-authority-test",
      "title": "Structured Output Authority Test",
      "track": "structured-output-authority",
      "question": "Does formatting the same AI answer as a table or scorecard increase trust or reduce verification compared with equivalent prose?",
      "conditions": [
        "Equivalent answer in plain prose",
        "Equivalent answer in a structured table or scorecard",
        "Structured answer plus a note that formatting does not increase evidence quality"
      ],
      "primaryMeasure": "Trust rating and verification rate",
      "secondaryMeasures": [
        "error acceptance",
        "perceived objectivity",
        "decision confidence",
        "time to first verification action"
      ],
      "minimumReport": "Keep claims, wording, sources, model identity and planted error rate constant. Report readability separately so a fluency advantage is not silently treated as authority."
    },
    {
      "slug": "dialogue-momentum-test",
      "title": "Dialogue Momentum Test",
      "track": "dialogue-momentum",
      "question": "After a multi-turn AI conversation converges on a plan, are people less likely to reopen an early assumption when new counterevidence appears?",
      "conditions": [
        "Continuous conversation with prior convergence",
        "Fresh context containing the same plan and new counterevidence",
        "Continuous conversation plus an explicit instruction to reopen the original assumption"
      ],
      "primaryMeasure": "Rate of revising the challenged assumption",
      "secondaryMeasures": [
        "final decision quality",
        "confidence change",
        "amount of counterevidence discussed",
        "time to revision"
      ],
      "minimumReport": "Keep the plan, counterevidence and decision task equivalent across conditions. Report whether differences come from human revision, model response, or both."
    },
    {
      "slug": "citation-density-halo-test",
      "title": "Citation Density Halo Test",
      "track": "citation-density-halo",
      "question": "Do repeated citation markers make an AI answer look better supported when the number and quality of unique sources do not change?",
      "conditions": [
        "Two unique sources cited once each",
        "The same two sources repeated through many citation markers",
        "Repeated markers plus explicit disclosure that only two unique sources are used"
      ],
      "primaryMeasure": "Perceived evidence strength",
      "secondaryMeasures": [
        "trust",
        "verification intent",
        "estimate of unique source count",
        "error acceptance"
      ],
      "minimumReport": "Hold answer text, source quality and unique source count constant. Record whether participants correctly understand source independence rather than assuming every marker represents new evidence."
    }
  ],
  "startingEvidence": [
    {
      "title": "How was my performance? Exploring the role of anchoring bias in AI-assisted decision making",
      "year": 2025,
      "url": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijinfomgt.2025.102875"
    },
    {
      "title": "Anchoring bias in large language models: an experimental study",
      "year": 2025,
      "url": "https://doi.org/10.1007/s42001-025-00435-2"
    },
    {
      "title": "Anchoring Bias in LLM-as-a-Judge Systems: Prior Scores Compromise Evaluation Independence",
      "year": 2026,
      "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.25869"
    },
    {
      "title": "Mediocrity is the key for LLM as a Judge Anchor Selection",
      "year": 2026,
      "url": "https://aclanthology.org/2026.acl-long.706/"
    },
    {
      "title": "Good Arguments Against the People Pleasers: How Reasoning Mitigates (Yet Masks) LLM Sycophancy",
      "year": 2026,
      "url": "https://doi.org/10.18653/v1/2026.acl-long.1126"
    },
    {
      "title": "Too Nice to Tell the Truth: Quantifying Agreeableness-Driven Sycophancy in Role-Playing Language Models",
      "year": 2026,
      "url": "https://doi.org/10.18653/v1/2026.acl-long.1421"
    },
    {
      "title": "Large Language Models are overconfident and amplify human bias",
      "year": 2025,
      "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.02151"
    },
    {
      "title": "The AI Memory Gap: Users Misremember What They Created With AI or Without",
      "year": 2025,
      "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.11851"
    },
    {
      "title": "ChatGPT as a cognitive crutch: Evidence from a randomized controlled trial on knowledge retention",
      "year": 2025,
      "url": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssaho.2025.102287"
    }
  ]
}
